Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itaborai Profute vs Rio Barra

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Rodrigues Moreira R.
20' Event
da Silveira da Silva D. P.
43'
Marcelo J.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C game between Itaborai Profute and Rio Barra finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itaborai Profute.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Itaborai Profute
35%
Draws
46%
Rio Barra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rio Barra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Barra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Itaborai Profute Clean Sheet 18%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itaborai Profute Rio Barra
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Carioca C
Itaborai Profute vs Rio Barra
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itaborai Profute Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues Moreira R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Silveira da Silva D. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rio Barra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itaborai Profute 36 / 100
Rio Barra 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itaborai Profute Rio Barra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Barra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itaborai Profute scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

Rio Barra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Itaborai Profute went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itaborai Profute VS Rio Barra
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itaborai Profute

(Home)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
07 Jun
Caac Brazil
3 : 1
Itaborai Profute
31 May
Itaborai Profute
1 : 1
Independente RJ
25 May
Uni Souza
1 : 1
Itaborai Profute
Page 1 of 2

Rio Barra

(Away)
12 Jul
Buzios
1 : 1
Rio Barra
06 Jul
Rio Barra
0 : 1
Buzios
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 2
Rio Barra
07 Jun
Rio Barra
0 : 4
Campos AA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)