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Itabuna vs CE Flamengo

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2013 game between Itabuna and CE Flamengo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Itabuna
39%
Draws
31%
CE Flamengo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabuna come out ahead of CE Flamengo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 20%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabuna CE Flamengo
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 18 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs CE Flamengo
2:1
May 24, 2015 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Itabuna
2:1
Apr 6, 2014 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Itabuna
2:1
Jun 16, 2013 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Itabuna
2:1
May 12, 2013 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs CE Flamengo
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna 31 / 100
CE Flamengo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabuna CE Flamengo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabuna scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: CE Flamengo conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Itabuna remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabuna VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galicia841310:913
2Catuense84139:813
3Camacari841310:1213
4EC Ypiranga832313:711
5Ipitanga82157:137
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabuna850311:515
2CE Flamengo842213:914
3Colo Colo841311:813
4Jequie82339:139
5AD Astro81255:145