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Itabuna vs Galicia

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Itabuna Logo

Itabuna

1 - 1
FT
Galicia Logo

Galicia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Itabuna
20%
Draws
34%
Galicia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Itabuna lately — more wins on the board than Galicia.
  • Itabuna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 20%
Galicia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabuna Galicia
Matches Played 38 40
Wins 17 11
Draws 14 12
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.26 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Galicia
0:1
Jul 6, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Itabuna
0:0
May 18, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Itabuna
2:3
Jun 1, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Galicia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna 85 / 100
Galicia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabuna Galicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabuna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabuna found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (38 games).

Galicia let in goals in 70% of their last 40 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Itabuna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabuna VS Galicia
0.8 Goals Scored 2.25
0.2 Goals Conceded 0.88
20% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabuna

(Home)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
Page 1 of 8

Galicia

(Away)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)