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Itabuna vs Galicia

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Itabuna
6%
Draws
4%
Galicia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Itabuna lately — more wins on the board than Galicia.
  • Itabuna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 20%
Galicia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabuna Galicia
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 17 10
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.8 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.20 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Galicia
0:1
Jul 6, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Itabuna
0:0
May 18, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Itabuna
2:3
Jun 1, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Galicia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna 85 / 100
Galicia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabuna Galicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabuna found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

Galicia let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Itabuna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabuna VS Galicia
0.8 Goals Scored 2.25
0.2 Goals Conceded 0.88
20% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabuna

(Home)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
Page 1 of 8

Galicia

(Away)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jequie1171314:1022
2Jacobinense1162317:920
3Juazeiro1155118:820
4Itabuna1154215:1019
5Jacobina1152417:1017
6Botafogo BA1144311:1216
7Galicia1143411:1215
8CE Flamengo1142510:814
9Fluminense de Feira113448:1213
10Canaa EC1125413:1611
11Feirense112187:187
12Grapiuna111376:226
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)