Sport Picks

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Itacoatiara W vs Sport Recife W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gomez K.
Own Goal
10' Event
Fraga M.
26' Event
Andrade L.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women game between Itacoatiara W and Sport Recife W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Recife W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Itacoatiara W
30%
Draws
62%
Sport Recife W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sport Recife W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sport Recife W come out ahead of Itacoatiara W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sport Recife W a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasileiro A2 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sport Recife W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Itacoatiara W Clean Sheet 10%
Sport Recife W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara W Sport Recife W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 1.4 2.37
Goals Conceded 3.23 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Sport Recife W
1:3
Apr 14, 2024 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Sport Recife W
1:4
May 28, 2023 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Sport Recife W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fraga M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sport Recife W Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara W 10 / 100
Sport Recife W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara W Sport Recife W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Recife W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Itacoatiara W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sport Recife W conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Itacoatiara W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara W VS Sport Recife W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
5.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara W

(Home)
08 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 18
Atletico-PI W
01 Aug
Itabirito W
9 : 0
Itacoatiara W
25 Jul
Itacoatiara W
0 : 4
3B da Amazonia W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
27 May
Mauaense W
3 : 0
Itacoatiara W
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Sport Recife W

(Away)
23 Aug
Itabirito W
3 : 0
Sport Recife W
16 Aug
Sport Recife W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Sport Recife W
2 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
25 Jul
Taubate W
0 : 0
Sport Recife W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)