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Italy U16 vs England U16 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Giammattei G.
26' Event
Paonessa R.
32' Event
Giammattei G.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Italy U16 and England U16 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Italy U16
15%
Draws
36%
England U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and England U16 come out ahead of Italy U16 on wins alone.
  • Italy U16 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 10%
England U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U16 England U16
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.6 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
5:0
Aug 27, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
2:3
Apr 12, 2024 Friendly International
England U16 vs Italy U16
2:1
Aug 24, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
1:1
Aug 22, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Giammattei G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Paonessa R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

England U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U16 34 / 100
England U16 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U16 England U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U16's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: England U16 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Italy U16 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U16 VS England U16
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U16

(Home)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Norway U16
1 : 2
Italy U16
29 May
Italy U16
3 : 2
South Korea U16
10 Apr
Czech Republic U16
0 : 2
Italy U16
08 Apr
Czech Republic U16
3 : 0
Italy U16
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England U16

(Away)
30 Oct
England U16
5 : 1
Wales U16
21 Apr
Vendee selection U17
1 : 3
England U16
19 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
England U16
17 Apr
England U16
0 : 3
Mexico U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
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