Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U16 vs Spain U16

World World

Friendly International 2024 Centro Tecnico Federale, Coverciano
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mba R.
36' Event
Exposito R.
40' Event
Morilla J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Italy U16 and Spain U16 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Italy U16
15%
Draws
47%
Spain U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U16 haven't matched Spain U16's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Spain U16 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U16 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U16 Spain U16
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.65 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs Spain U16
1:4
Sep 17, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs Spain U16
2:3
Sep 21, 2023 Friendly International
Spain U16 vs Italy U16
2:3
Sep 19, 2023 Friendly International
Spain U16 vs Italy U16
2:1
May 31, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs Spain U16
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Spain U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mba R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Exposito R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.01
Avg xA / game 1.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U16 10 / 100
Spain U16 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U16 Spain U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U16 scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Spain U16 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Italy U16 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U16 VS Spain U16
1.25 Goals Scored 2.8
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U16

(Home)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Norway U16
1 : 2
Italy U16
29 May
Italy U16
3 : 2
South Korea U16
10 Apr
Czech Republic U16
0 : 2
Italy U16
08 Apr
Czech Republic U16
3 : 0
Italy U16
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Spain U16

(Away)
27 Apr
Belgium U16
0 : 2
Spain U16
24 Apr
Spain U16
3 : 0
Turkey U16
22 Apr
Spain U16
2 : 0
Austria U16
19 Sept
Italy U16
1 : 4
Spain U16
17 Sept
Italy U16
2 : 3
Spain U16
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