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Italy U16 W vs England U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Wellesley-Smith C.
77' Event
Jones V.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2023 game between Italy U16 W and England U16 W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England U16 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Italy U16 W
17%
Draws
13%
England U16 W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Italy U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Italy U16 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Italy U16 W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Italy U16 W Clean Sheet 17%
England U16 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U16 W England U16 W
Matches Played 17 11
Wins 8 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2023 Friendly International Women
Italy U16 W vs England U16 W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

England U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellesley-Smith C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U16 W 66 / 100
England U16 W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U16 W England U16 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U16 W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

England U16 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 11 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Italy U16 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U16 W VS England U16 W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U16 W

(Home)
27 May
Sweden U16 W
0 : 2
Italy U16 W
24 May
Italy U16 W
2 : 0
Austria U16 W
22 May
Poland U16 W
3 : 2
Italy U16 W
19 Apr
Netherlands U16 W
2 : 1
Italy U16 W
16 Apr
Netherlands U16 W
0 : 2
Italy U16 W
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England U16 W

(Away)
20 Apr
Sweden U16 W
0 : 1
England U16 W
18 Apr
England U16 W
1 : 0
Portugal U16 W
16 Apr
France U16 W
3 : 0
England U16 W
14 Apr
Japan U16 W
1 : 1
England U16 W
01 Nov
England U16 W
3 : 3
Switzerland U16 W
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