Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U17 vs England U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2025 Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhinë
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Inacio S.
(Penalty)
20'
Baralla A.
23' Event
Gomes Rodriguez A.
Assist: Benamar D.

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 in this Euro U17 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Italy U17
20%
Draws
42%
England U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: England U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U17 have won more games recently than England U17.
  • Win probability leans Italy U17's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 18%
England U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 England U17
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 21 16
Draws 3 1
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.27 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs England U17
4:2
May 30, 2024 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs England U17
2:1
May 7, 2018 Euro U17
England U17 vs Italy U17
2:1
May 7, 2015 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs England U17
0:1
Aug 31, 2014 Friendly International
England U17 vs Italy U17
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer De Paoli C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campaniello T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

England U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes Rodriguez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 36 / 100
England U17 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 England U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Italy U17 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: England U17 conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 VS England U17
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17

(Home)
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
Page 1 of 6

England U17

(Away)
28 Sept
England U17
2 : 1
Israel U17
23 Sept
England U17
5 : 1
Ireland U17
31 Mar
Estonia U17
0 : 2
England U17
28 Mar
Israel U17
3 : 1
England U17
25 Mar
England U17
3 : 0
Faroe Islands U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Portugal U17 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Germany U17 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Albania U17 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 3 0 0 8:4 9
2 Belgium U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 England U17 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
4 Czech Republic U17 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Play Offs)