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Italy U17 vs Spain U17

World World

Friendly International 2025 Campo Enzo Bearzot, Firenze
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Bonel A.
25' Event
Busiello D.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Ciria A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Italy U17 and Spain U17 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Italy U17
20%
Draws
36%
Spain U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Spain U17 haven't matched Italy U17's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spain U17 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 12%
Spain U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 Spain U17
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 23 20
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.06 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.42 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Spain U17
2:1
Jan 22, 2026 Friendly International
Spain U17 vs Italy U17
3:0
Jan 20, 2026 Friendly International
Spain U17 vs Italy U17
2:0
Jan 23, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Spain U17
1:2
Jan 21, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Spain U17
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spain U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonel A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciria A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 30 / 100
Spain U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 Spain U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (36 games).

Italy U17 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Spain U17 has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 VS Spain U17
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17

(Home)
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
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Spain U17

(Away)
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
31 May
Spain U17
2 : 3
Croatia U17
28 May
Belgium U17
0 : 1
Spain U17
25 May
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
23 Apr
Spain U17
3 : 1
Ukraine U17
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