Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U18 vs Austria U18

World World

Friendly International 2024 Gianpiero Combi Stadium, Merano
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bonanomi A.
28' Event
Mendicino L.
35'
Plaia M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Italy U18 and Austria U18 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Italy U18
30%
Draws
39%
Austria U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Austria U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austria U18 come out ahead of Italy U18 on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Italy U18 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Austria U18 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Austria U18
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.58
Goals Conceded 1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Italy U18
1:0
Oct 10, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
0:2
Mar 24, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
2:0
Mar 21, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
2:1
Mar 25, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonanomi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendicino L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Austria U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandt M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 42 / 100
Austria U18 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Austria U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U18 scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Austria U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Italy U18 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U18 VS Austria U18
1 Goals Scored 0.6
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.6
50% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U18

(Home)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
24 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Algeria U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
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Austria U18

(Away)
23 Sept
France U18
1 : 2
Austria U18
13 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
10 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 0
Austria U18
22 Mar
Sweden U18
2 : 0
Austria U18
20 Mar
Germany U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
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