Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U18 vs Austria U18

World World

Friendly International 2024 Gianpiero Combi Stadium, Merano
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Feiner F.
29'
Brunnhofer J.
46'
Sub
Macic G. In: Olivier C.
Out: Macic G.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Italy U18 and Austria U18 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Italy U18
30%
Draws
23%
Austria U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Italy U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Austria U18's 1.56 goals per match outpaces what Italy U18 have produced (1.14).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Austria U18 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Austria U18
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Italy U18
1:0
Oct 10, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
0:2
Mar 24, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
2:0
Mar 21, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
2:1
Mar 25, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Austria U18
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caprini M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fini S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Austria U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 32 / 100
Austria U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Austria U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U18 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Austria U18 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Away concern: Austria U18 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U18 VS Austria U18
1 Goals Scored 0.29
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.71
38% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U18

(Home)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
24 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Algeria U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
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Austria U18

(Away)
13 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
10 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 0
Austria U18
22 Mar
Sweden U18
2 : 0
Austria U18
20 Mar
Germany U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
19 Jan
Portugal U18
3 : 2
Austria U18
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