Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U18 vs Hungary U18

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Kovacs B.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Italy U18 and Hungary U18 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hungary U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Italy U18
20%
Draws
57%
Hungary U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hungary U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Italy U18 come out ahead of Hungary U18 on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Hungary U18 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Hungary U18 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Hungary U18
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Hungary U18
0:1
Apr 17, 2019 Friendly International
Hungary U18 vs Italy U18
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Hungary U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacs B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 28 / 100
Hungary U18 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Hungary U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungary U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U18 scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Hungary U18 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Italy U18 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U18 VS Hungary U18
1 Goals Scored 1.29
1 Goals Conceded 0.86
50% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U18

(Home)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
24 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Algeria U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
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Hungary U18

(Away)
09 Sept
Hungary U18
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
13 May
Turkey U18
2 : 1
Hungary U18
05 Nov
Slovakia U18
2 : 3
Hungary U18
22 Oct
Hungary U18
1 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
17 Sept
North Macedonia U18
2 : 2
Hungary U18
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