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Italy U18 vs Morocco U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Mediterranean Games
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mounssef M.
47' Event
Eddaoudi A.
50' Event
Essaadi K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Italy U18
15%
Draws
45%
Morocco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U18 haven't matched Morocco U20's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Morocco U20 taking it.
  • Morocco U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Morocco U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Morocco U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Mediterranean Games
Italy U18 vs Morocco U20
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Giammattei G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Morocco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mounssef M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eddaoudi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 22 / 100
Morocco U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Morocco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Italy U18 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Italy U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Morocco U20 conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U18 VS Morocco U20
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U18

(Home)
02 Oct
Saudi Arabia U18
0 : 2
Italy U18
29 Sept
Italy U18
3 : 1
Denmark U18
26 Sept
Chile U17
1 : 2
Italy U18
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
Page 1 of 6

Morocco U20

(Away)
03 Oct
Egypt U20
0 : 2
Morocco U20
30 Sept
Morocco U20
3 : 1
Algeria U20
27 Sept
Tunisia U20
0 : 0
Morocco U20
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Algeria U21
2 : 1
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Italy U18 1
Tunisia U21 3
Algeria U21 2
Morocco U20 1
Final
Tunisia U21 0
Algeria U21 2
Italy U18 1
Morocco U20 4