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Italy U18 vs Spain U18

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

'
17' Event
Roca J.
46'
Sub
Enriquez Y. In: Cortes A.
Out: Enriquez Y.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Italy U18 and Spain U18 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Italy U18
30%
Draws
47%
Spain U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spain U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Spain U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Italy U18 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 17%
Spain U18 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Spain U18
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.15 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Friendly International
Spain U18 vs Italy U18
1:0
Jan 15, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Spain U18
0:0
Jan 17, 2024 Friendly International
Spain U18 vs Italy U18
0:0
Jan 18, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Spain U18
1:3
Jun 30, 2018 Mediterranean Games
Italy U18 vs Spain U18
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bovo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Spain U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Roca J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arevalo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 36 / 100
Spain U18 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Spain U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U18 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Spain U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Italy U18 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U18 VS Spain U18
0.63 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U18

(Home)
19 Feb
Italy U18
0 : 1
Ukraine U18
17 Feb
Italy U18
2 : 2
Ukraine U18
14 Jan
Spain U18
1 : 0
Italy U18
09 Sept
Croatia U18
0 : 0
Italy U18
06 Sept
Italy U18
1 : 0
United Arab Emirates U18
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Spain U18

(Away)
14 Jan
Spain U18
1 : 0
Italy U18
14 Oct
Romania U18
2 : 3
Spain U18
11 Oct
Turkey U18
1 : 3
Spain U18
09 Oct
Spain U18
1 : 2
Portugal U18
15 Jan
Italy U18
0 : 0
Spain U18
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