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Italy U18 vs Switzerland U18

World World

Friendly International 2024 Centro Sportivo Vittore Anessi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Italy U18 play Switzerland U18 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Italy U18 averaged 1.15 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Switzerland U18 averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Italy U18 won 3, Switzerland U18 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 17, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Italy U18 and 1.31 for Switzerland U18. This points to a Italy U18 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Italy U18
30%
Draws
27%
Switzerland U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Italy U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Italy U18 picked up more points recently compared to Switzerland U18.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 18%
Switzerland U18 Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Switzerland U18
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.15 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Switzerland U18
1:0
Nov 14, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Switzerland U18
2:1
Mar 28, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Switzerland U18
5:1
Mar 29, 2021 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Switzerland U18
0:0
Mar 26, 2021 Friendly International
Switzerland U18 vs Italy U18
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Nunzio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Switzerland U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 42 / 100
Switzerland U18 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Switzerland U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Italy U18 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Italy U18 attacking → ← attacking Switzerland U18

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U18 scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Switzerland U18 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Italy U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Switzerland U18 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 35
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75