Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U18 vs Tunisia U21

World World

Mediterranean Games
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Perillo D.
60' Event
Derbali A.
74' Event
Anane R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Italy U18
20%
Draws
57%
Tunisia U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tunisia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Italy U18 lately — more wins on the board than Tunisia U21.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Tunisia U21 taking it.
  • Italy U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Tunisia U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U18 Tunisia U21
Matches Played 27 15
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.07 1.27
Goals Conceded 1 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Mediterranean Games
Italy U18 vs Tunisia U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perillo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Tunisia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Derbali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anane R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U18 20 / 100
Tunisia U21 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U18 Tunisia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Italy U18 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Tunisia U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 15 matches.

Italy U18 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U18 VS Tunisia U21
1 Goals Scored 1.2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.8
38% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U18

(Home)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
24 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Algeria U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
Page 1 of 6

Tunisia U21

(Away)
30 Aug
Tunisia U21
0 : 2
Algeria U21
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Turkey U20
1 : 2
Tunisia U21
24 Aug
Morocco U20
0 : 1
Tunisia U21
22 Aug
Tunisia U21
0 : 0
North Macedonia U21
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Italy U18 1
Tunisia U21 3
Algeria U21 2
Morocco U20 1
Final
Tunisia U21 0
Algeria U21 2
Italy U18 1
Morocco U20 4