Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U19 vs Hungary U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Kovacs B.
39'
Sala E.
40'
Kemenes S.

AI Match Summary

Italy U19 in this Euro U19 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Italy U19
15%
Draws
48%
Hungary U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hungary U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Hungary U19 haven't matched Italy U19's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Hungary U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Italy U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Hungary U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 Hungary U19
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.73 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Hungary U19
3:0
Nov 19, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Hungary U19
7:2
Nov 16, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Hungary U19
3:0
Nov 15, 2021 Friendly International
Hungary U19 vs Italy U19
3:1
Nov 11, 2021 Friendly International
Hungary U19 vs Italy U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iddrissou J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Comotto C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hungary U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 28 / 100
Hungary U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 Hungary U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungary U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Italy U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Hungary U19 conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Italy U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U19 VS Hungary U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U19

(Home)
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
29 Jun
Italy U19
2 : 0
Serbia U19
31 Mar
Ireland U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
Page 1 of 6

Hungary U19

(Away)
24 Sept
Romania U19
1 : 2
Hungary U19
31 Mar
Wales U19
0 : 4
Hungary U19
31 Mar
Hungary U19
4 : 2
Slovakia U19
28 Mar
Turkey U19
3 : 2
Hungary U19
28 Mar
France U19
1 : 0
Hungary U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Austria U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Greece U19 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Sweden U19 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U19 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 England U19 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Portugal U19 3 1 1 1 2:7 4
4 Poland U19 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 France U19 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Switzerland U19 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Norway U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Belgium U19 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Czech Republic U19 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Latvia U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Northern Ireland U19 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Romania U19 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Turkey U19 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Hungary U19 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Slovakia U19 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Netherlands U19 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Finland U19 3 1 0 2 1:7 3
4 Slovenia U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)