Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U19 vs Hungary U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Kovacs B.
39'
Sala E.
40'
Kemenes S.

AI Match Summary

Italy U19 in this Euro U19 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Italy U19
20%
Draws
38%
Hungary U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hungary U19 haven't matched Italy U19's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Italy U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Italy U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Hungary U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 Hungary U19
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 10 2
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Hungary U19
3:0
Nov 19, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Hungary U19
7:2
Nov 16, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Hungary U19
3:0
Nov 15, 2021 Friendly International
Hungary U19 vs Italy U19
3:1
Nov 11, 2021 Friendly International
Hungary U19 vs Italy U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iddrissou J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Comotto C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hungary U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 42 / 100
Hungary U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 Hungary U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Italy U19 scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Hungary U19 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Italy U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U19 VS Hungary U19
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U19

(Home)
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
29 Jun
Italy U19
2 : 0
Serbia U19
31 Mar
Ireland U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
Page 1 of 7

Hungary U19

(Away)
31 Mar
Wales U19
0 : 4
Hungary U19
31 Mar
Hungary U19
4 : 2
Slovakia U19
28 Mar
Turkey U19
3 : 2
Hungary U19
28 Mar
France U19
1 : 0
Hungary U19
25 Mar
Italy U19
3 : 0
Hungary U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U1932106:47
2Austria U1931116:44
3Greece U1930213:42
4Sweden U1930214:72
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serbia U1932104:17
2England U1932017:26
3Portugal U1931112:74
4Poland U1930030:30
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U1932106:27
2France U1931205:45
3Switzerland U1931024:73
4Norway U1930123:51
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U1932105:17
2Belgium U1931112:24
3Czech Republic U1931024:33
4Latvia U1931022:73
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ukraine U1932105:17
2Northern Ireland U1931111:14
3Kazakhstan U1931022:43
4Romania U1930211:32
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U1932107:17
2Turkey U1932105:37
3Hungary U1931026:83
4Slovakia U1930032:80
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U19330011:09
2Netherlands U1932015:46
3Finland U1931021:73
4Slovenia U1930031:70
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)