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Italy U20 vs Poland U20

Europe Europe

Elite League U20 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Pagano R.
31'
D'Andrea L.
41' Event
Terracciano F.

AI Match Summary

Italy U20 in this Elite League U20 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Italy U20
15%
Draws
76%
Poland U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Italy U20 have won more games recently than Poland U20.
  • Model gives Poland U20 a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Italy U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Italy U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Poland U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U20 Poland U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Elite League U20
Poland U20 vs Italy U20
2:3
Oct 13, 2023 Elite League U20
Italy U20 vs Poland U20
1:0
Jun 7, 2022 Elite League U20
Italy U20 vs Poland U20
0:1
Sep 2, 2021 Elite League U20
Poland U20 vs Italy U20
0:2
Sep 5, 2019 Elite League U20
Italy U20 vs Poland U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Terracciano F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Poland U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U20 10 / 100
Poland U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U20 Poland U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Poland U20 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Italy U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U20 VS Poland U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U20

(Home)
27 Mar
Italy U20
3 : 3
England U20
17 Nov
Germany U20
5 : 0
Italy U20
14 Nov
Italy U20
1 : 2
Portugal U20
09 Oct
USA U20
3 : 0
Italy U20
04 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Italy U20
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Poland U20

(Away)
31 Mar
Poland U20
0 : 1
Germany U20
27 Mar
Romania U20
0 : 1
Poland U20
14 Nov
Czech Republic U20
1 : 4
Poland U20
13 Oct
Poland U20
4 : 1
Switzerland U20
09 Sept
Poland U20
1 : 2
Portugal U20
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