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Italy U21 vs Egypt U21

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2024
Wed, Jun 12, 2024
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Italy U21 host Egypt U21 in the Maurice Revello Tournament 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Italy U21 have averaged 2.38 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Egypt U21's 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Italy U21 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.73 xG vs 1.00) point toward Italy U21. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Italy U21
20%
Draws
32%
Egypt U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Italy U21 come out ahead of Egypt U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Italy U21 a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Italy U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Egypt U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U21 Egypt U21
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 18 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 4 1
Goals Scored 2.38 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2024 Maurice Revello Tournament
Italy U21 vs Egypt U21
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U21 85 / 100
Egypt U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U21 Egypt U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Egypt U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 6 matches.

Italy U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Italy U21 VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
26 Mar
Italy U21
4 : 0
North Macedonia U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4
Italy U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
Page 1 of 6

Egypt U21

(Away)
07 Sept
Russia U21
1 : 1
Egypt U21
27 May
Japan U21
2 : 3
Egypt U21
25 May
Egypt U21
1 : 1
Turkey U21
23 May
Egypt U21
0 : 3
Netherlands U21
29 May
Egypt U21
2 : 0
Chad U21
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U20 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 France U20 4 2 0 2 7:4 7
3 Mexico U23 4 3 0 1 6:8 7
4 Saudi Arabia U23 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 South Korea U21 4 0 0 4 1:5 1
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U23 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Italy U21 4 3 0 1 7:9 8
3 Japan U19 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
4 Panama U23 4 1 0 3 6:5 4
5 Egypt U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Japan U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Panama U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Indonesia U20 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)