Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli

Italy U21

4 - 0

North Macedonia U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Ndour C.

Assist: Bartesaghi D.

18'

Lipani L.

32'

Favasuli C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Italy U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%

Italy U21

15%

Draws

North Macedonia U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence

Italy U21 have won more games recently than North Macedonia U21.
Model gives Italy U21 a 78% chance of winning this.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Italy U21 Clean Sheet 68%

North Macedonia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Italy U21	North Macedonia U21
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	18	7
Draws	7	5
Losses	4	19
Goals Scored	2.38	0.68
Goals Conceded	1	1.65
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs North Macedonia U21

4:0

Sep 9, 2025 Euro U21

North Macedonia U21 vs Italy U21

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndour C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lipani L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

North Macedonia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U21 95 / 100

North Macedonia U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Italy U21 North Macedonia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: North Macedonia U21 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Italy U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U21 VS North Macedonia U21

3.13 Goals Scored 0.88

0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U21

(Home)

08 Jun

Italy U21

1 : 0

Albania U21

31 Mar

Sweden U21

0 : 4

Italy U21

26 Mar

Italy U21

4 : 0

North Macedonia U21

18 Nov

Montenegro U21

1 : 4

Italy U21

14 Nov

Poland U21

2 : 1

Italy U21

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North Macedonia U21

(Away)

26 Aug

North Macedonia U21

1 : 5

Morocco U20

24 Aug

Turkey U20

3 : 0

North Macedonia U21

22 Aug

Tunisia U21

0 : 0

North Macedonia U21

08 Jun

North Macedonia U21

0 : 2

USA U20

30 May

Bulgaria U21

1 : 0

North Macedonia U21

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