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Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Corelli A.
46'
Sub
Corelli A. In: Bragonzi A.
Out: Corelli A.
46'
Sub
Unknown player In: Kerkhove A.
Out: Unknown player

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2023 game between Italy U23 W and Belgium U23 W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Italy U23 W
17%
Draws
13%
Belgium U23 W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Italy U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Belgium U23 W haven't matched Italy U23 W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Italy U23 W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Italy U23 W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Italy U23 W Clean Sheet 20%
Belgium U23 W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U23 W Belgium U23 W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
1:0
Nov 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
1:1
Nov 30, 2023 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
2:1
Oct 10, 2022 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Corelli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bragonzi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Belgium U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Helsen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U23 W 67 / 100
Belgium U23 W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U23 W Belgium U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgium U23 W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Belgium U23 W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Italy U23 W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Italy U23 W VS Belgium U23 W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%