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Italy U23 W vs France U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Bogaert L.
35'
Giordano M.
49' Event
Feller N.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Italy U23 W and France U23 W finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Italy U23 W
6%
Draws
4%
France U23 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Italy U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and France U23 W come out ahead of Italy U23 W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Italy U23 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Italy U23 W Clean Sheet 16%
France U23 W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U23 W France U23 W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2025 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs Italy U23 W
0:2
Apr 4, 2024 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs France U23 W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bragonzi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gallazzi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

France U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Feller N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bussy K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U23 W 84 / 100
France U23 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U23 W France U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Italy U23 W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

France U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Italy U23 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U23 W VS France U23 W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U23 W

(Home)
16 Apr
Germany U23 W
1 : 0
Italy U23 W
12 Apr
Portugal U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
02 Mar
Portugal U23 W
1 : 3
Italy U23 W
01 Dec
Italy U23 W
1 : 0
Belgium U23 W
27 Nov
Sweden U23 W
2 : 1
Italy U23 W
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France U23 W

(Away)
08 Jun
France U23 W
1 : 2
USA U20 W
05 Jun
USA U20 W
5 : 0
France U23 W
16 Apr
France U23 W
3 : 4
USA U23 W
12 Apr
France U23 W
1 : 0
Scotland U23 W
02 Mar
France U23 W
0 : 1
England U23 W
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