Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine

Italy

3 - 0

Israel

Our Tip

Match Events

42'

Biton D.

45'

Retegui M.

(Penalty)

46'

Sub

Raspadori G. In: Esposito F.

Out: Raspadori G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Italy in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Italy

20%

Draws

38%

Israel

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Italy lately — more wins on the board than Israel.
38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Italy here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Italy Clean Sheet 14%

Israel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Italy	Israel
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	17	11
Draws	5	5
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	1.76	1.46
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.71
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Italy vs Israel

3:0

Sep 8, 2025 World Championship

Israel vs Italy

4:5

Oct 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Italy vs Israel

4:1

Sep 9, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Israel vs Italy

1:2

Sep 5, 2017 World Championship

Italy vs Israel

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy Compare

Top Goalscorer Retegui M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mancini G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Israel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy 31 / 100

Israel 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Italy Israel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Israel Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Israel has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Italy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy VS Israel

2.75 Goals Scored 1.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 2

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy

(Home)

07 Jun

Greece

0 : 1

Italy

03 Jun

Luxembourg

0 : 1

Italy

31 Mar

Bosnia & Herzegovina

2 : 1

Italy

26 Mar

Italy

2 : 0

Northern Ireland

16 Nov

Italy

1 : 4

Norway

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Israel

(Away)

03 Jun

Albania

0 : 1

Israel

26 Mar

Georgia

2 : 2

Israel

16 Nov

Israel

4 : 1

Moldova

13 Nov

Lithuania

0 : 0

Israel

14 Oct

Italy

3 : 0

Israel

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