Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itapipoca vs Fortaleza B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Richard
48' Event
Sousa F.
49' Event
Fellype Gabryel

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Itapipoca
35%
Draws
28%
Fortaleza B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Itapipoca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Itapipoca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 18%
Fortaleza B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Fortaleza B
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 16 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.57 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Itapipoca vs Fortaleza B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabricio P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fortaleza B Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fellype Gabryel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 32 / 100
Fortaleza B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Fortaleza B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza B has conceded goals in 88% of their last 8 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Itapipoca scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Itapipoca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Fortaleza B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 6

Fortaleza B

(Away)
01 Dec
Fortaleza B
1 : 2
Tirol
23 Nov
Fortaleza B
2 : 1
Ferroviario
15 Nov
Atletico Cearense
1 : 1
Fortaleza B
02 Nov
Itapipoca
2 : 2
Fortaleza B
25 Oct
Fortaleza B
0 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza B 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
2 Itapipoca 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Ferroviario 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
4 Quixada 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
5 Atletico Cearense 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara B 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Tirol 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 Maracana 4 3 0 1 4:1 9
4 Vila Real 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 Caucaia 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes 2025 (Play Offs)