Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Araujo G.
76'
76'
Gustavinho
AI Match Summary
Itaqua in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itaqua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itaqua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Itaqua lately — more wins on the board than Manthiqueira.
- Win probability leans Itaqua's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Itaqua Clean Sheet 18%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itaqua | Manthiqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 16 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Itaqua
0:2
May 3, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs Manthiqueira
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Itaqua Compare
Top Goalscorer Araujo G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gustavinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Manthiqueira Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Itaqua 85 / 100
Manthiqueira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Itaqua Manthiqueira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Itaqua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Itaqua found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (16 games).
Defensive concern: Manthiqueira conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Itaqua remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Itaqua VS Manthiqueira
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Itaqua
(Home) 02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1 Itaqua
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0 Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4 Itaqua
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0 Paulinia FU
Page 1 of 4
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0 Uniao Mogi
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0 Paulinia FU
14 Jun
Itaqua
5 : 1 Maua FC
31 May
Itaqua
1 : 0 Barcelona SP
Page 1 of 2
Manthiqueira
(Away) 05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Itaqua
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
31 May
Uniao Mogi
1 : 0 Manthiqueira
16 May
Mauaense
2 : 2 Manthiqueira
03 May
Itaqua
2 : 0 Manthiqueira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
