Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itaqua vs Uniao Mogi

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event

AI Match Summary

Itaqua in this Paulista B tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Itaqua
6%
Draws
4%
Uniao Mogi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Itaqua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Mogi haven't matched Itaqua's recent run of results.
  • Itaqua are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Itaqua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itaqua, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Itaqua have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Itaqua Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itaqua Uniao Mogi
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 1 7
Losses 1 15
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs Uniao Mogi
1:0
Jul 11, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Itaqua
1:4
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Itaqua
2:1
May 17, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs Uniao Mogi
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itaqua 95 / 100
Uniao Mogi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itaqua Uniao Mogi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Itaqua scored in 100% of their last 14 outings.

Defensive concern: Uniao Mogi conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Itaqua has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itaqua VS Uniao Mogi
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itaqua

(Home)
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0
Paulinia FU
28 Jun
Paulinia FU
1 : 3
Itaqua
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1
Itaqua
Page 1 of 3

Uniao Mogi

(Away)
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3
Maua FC
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1
Itaqua
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independente SP4
Tupa0
Paulinense3
Sao Carlos0
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
Matonense1
Assisense0
Itaqua6
Paulinia FU1
Maua FC3
Uniao Mogi5
Jose Bonifacio EC4
Manthiqueira1
America SP3
Santacruzense0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP3
Paulinense1
Flamengo SP4
Matonense1
Itaqua5
Uniao Mogi1
Jose Bonifacio EC2
America SP4
Semi-finals
Independente SP-
Flamengo SP-
Itaqua-
America SP-
Final
TBD-
TBD-