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Itarema U20 vs Pacatuba U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Almeida M.
60'
Viegas M.
67' Event
Luis Felipe

AI Match Summary

Pacatuba U20 in this Cearense U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pacatuba U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Itarema U20
15%
Draws
85%
Pacatuba U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pacatuba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pacatuba U20 have won more games recently than Itarema U20.
  • Win probability leans Pacatuba U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Itarema U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Pacatuba U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itarema U20 Pacatuba U20
Matches Played 13 14
Wins 1 5
Draws 1 2
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.62 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.92 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 Cearense U20
Pacatuba U20 vs Itarema U20
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 Cearense U20
Itarema U20 vs Pacatuba U20
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itarema U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pacatuba U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luis Felipe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itarema U20 10 / 100
Pacatuba U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itarema U20 Pacatuba U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pacatuba U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pacatuba U20 let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Itarema U20 scored in 62% of their last 13 games.

Difficult form: Pacatuba U20 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itarema U20 VS Pacatuba U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Itarema U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Itarema U20
1 : 6
Horizonte U20
23 Aug
Itarema U20
0 : 7
Ferroviario U20
30 Jul
Ceara U20
5 : 1
Itarema U20
12 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
2 : 1
Itarema U20
28 Jun
Itarema U20
1 : 2
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 3

Pacatuba U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Pacatuba U20
5 : 2
Anjos do Ceu U20
23 Aug
Pacatuba U20
0 : 1
Horizonte U20
08 Aug
Floresta EC U20
4 : 0
Pacatuba U20
02 Aug
Pacatuba U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
12 Jul
Ceara U20
4 : 0
Pacatuba U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Acopiara U20 8 6 2 0 20:3 20
2 Iguatu U20 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Icasa U20 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
4 Crato U20 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
5 Cariri FC U20 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus CE U20 8 7 0 1 17:7 21
2 Santa Cruz CE U20 8 5 0 3 16:6 15
3 Sao Gerardo U20 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
4 CA Cearense U20 8 1 2 5 8:12 5
5 Alvinegro U20 8 0 2 6 6:29 2
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:9 19
2 Tirol U20 8 6 0 2 15:8 18
3 Atletico Cearense U20 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
4 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
5 Tiradentes U20 8 0 3 5 6:21 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 8 7 1 0 36:6 22
2 Ferroviario U20 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
3 Itapipoca U20 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Caucaia U20 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
5 Terra e Mar U20 8 0 1 7 1:34 1
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horizonte U20 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
2 Floresta EC U20 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
3 Pacatuba U20 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
4 Itarema U20 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams