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Itarema vs Tiangua EC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
Itarema Logo

Itarema

0 - 2
FT
Tiangua EC Logo

Tiangua EC

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Joao Henrique
75' Event
Gabriel Joao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 2024 game between Itarema and Tiangua EC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tiangua EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Itarema
15%
Draws
85%
Tiangua EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tiangua EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tiangua EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tiangua EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Itarema Clean Sheet 10%
Tiangua EC Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itarema Tiangua EC
Matches Played 6 12
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 1
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 0.17 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2024 Cearense 3
Itarema vs Tiangua EC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itarema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Tiangua EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Joao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itarema 10 / 100
Tiangua EC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itarema Tiangua EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiangua EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tiangua EC conceded in 83% of 12 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Tiangua EC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Itarema scored in 17% of their last 6 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itarema VS Tiangua EC
0.17 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itarema

(Home)
20 Jul
Crato
6 : 0
Itarema
15 Jul
Itarema
0 : 2
Tiangua EC
08 Jul
Itarema
1 : 2
Terra e Mar
30 Jun
Esporte Limoeiro
2 : 0
Itarema
23 Jun
Itarema
0 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
Page 1 of 2

Tiangua EC

(Away)
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
30 Aug
Acopiara
2 : 1
Tiangua EC
23 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 4
Calouros do Ar
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
11 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 2
Pacatuba
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Esporte Limoeiro 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Crato 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
4 Terra e Mar 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Tiangua EC 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Alianca Futebol Clube 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
7 Itarema 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 2024 (Play Offs)