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Ittihad Gharyan vs Al-Ittihad

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026
Sun, Apr 26, 2026
0 - 2
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ittihad Gharyan host Al-Ittihad in the Premier League 2025/2026. Al-Ittihad go into this one as the clear favorite. Al-Ittihad have shipped 0.81 goals a game lately, while Ittihad Gharyan have conceded 1.56 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, Ittihad Gharyan have won 0 to Al-Ittihad's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Al-Ittihad. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ittihad Gharyan
30%
Draws
47%
Al-Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ittihad have won more games recently than Ittihad Gharyan.
  • Win probability leans Al-Ittihad's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ittihad Gharyan Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Gharyan Al-Ittihad
Matches Played 16 36
Wins 2 22
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Ittihad Gharyan vs Al-Ittihad
0:2
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Ittihad Gharyan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Gharyan 12 / 100
Al-Ittihad 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Gharyan Al-Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ittihad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittihad has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ittihad Gharyan scored in 56% of their last 16 outings.

Ittihad Gharyan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Gharyan VS Al-Ittihad
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ittihad Gharyan

(Home)
26 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2
Al-Ittihad
20 Apr
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 0
Ittihad Gharyan
15 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
1 : 1
Al Shomooa
10 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 1
Ittihad Gharyan
16 Mar
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2
Al-Majd
Page 1 of 4

Al-Ittihad

(Away)
24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 2
Al-Ittihad
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad
14 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Asswehly
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)