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Libya

Premier League

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ittihad Gharyan host Shabab Al-Ghar in the Premier League. Ittihad Gharyan are expected to control this from the start. Ittihad Gharyan have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Shabab Al-Ghar's 0.88 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Shabab Al-Ghar slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Ittihad Gharyan. Ittihad Gharyan in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Ittihad Gharyan

39%

Draws

31%

Shabab Al-Ghar

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Shabab Al-Ghar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ittihad Gharyan.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Ittihad Gharyan Clean Sheet 20%

Shabab Al-Ghar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ittihad Gharyan	Shabab Al-Ghar
Matches Played	16	30
Wins	2	7
Draws	4	13
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	0.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League

Shabab Al-Ghar vs Ittihad Gharyan

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Dec 20, 2025 Premier League

Ittihad Gharyan vs Shabab Al-Ghar

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Gharyan 31 / 100

Shabab Al-Ghar 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ittihad Gharyan Shabab Al-Ghar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad Gharyan scored in 56% of their last 16 games.

Shabab Al-Ghar let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ittihad Gharyan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Shabab Al-Ghar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Gharyan VS Shabab Al-Ghar

0.63 Goals Scored 0.88

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Tripoli	18	15	2	1	47:9	47
2	Asswehly	18	13	4	1	35:9	43
3	Al Madina	18	8	4	6	23:22	28
4	Al Watan	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
5	Assabah	18	6	4	8	12:18	22
6	Al Malaab El Libby	18	5	5	8	15:21	20
7	Al-Khmes	18	5	5	8	19:31	20
8	Al Qadisiyah	18	6	2	10	11:24	19
9	Al Dahra	18	3	5	10	20:27	14
10	Abu Salim	18	3	4	11	13:30	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Ittihad	16	13	3	0	35:9	42
2	Olympic Azzaweya	16	9	4	3	25:11	31
3	Al Ittihad Misurata	16	7	6	3	21:11	27
4	Al-Majd	16	6	5	5	14:13	23
5	Al Shomooa	16	6	4	6	24:19	22
6	Shabab Al-Ghar	16	4	6	6	17:27	18
7	Al Tirsana	16	3	7	6	15:23	16
8	Ittihad Gharyan	16	2	4	10	10:25	10
9	Abi Al Ashar	16	1	3	12	9:32	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Military Union	16	10	5	1	26:9	35
2	Al Hilal Benghazi	16	10	4	2	20:11	34
3	Al Ahly Benghazi	16	9	6	1	23:6	33
4	Al Taawun	16	7	5	4	19:14	26
5	Darnes	16	5	5	6	16:16	20
6	Al Sadaqa	16	5	4	7	16:17	19
7	Al-Anwar	16	1	8	7	12:23	11
8	Al Borouq	16	2	4	10	7:21	10
9	Al-Suqoor	16	1	3	12	13:35	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nasr	14	11	2	1	28:7	35
2	Al Akhdar	14	8	4	2	16:9	28
3	Al-Afreeki	14	7	2	5	29:18	23
4	Al Tahaddi	14	5	6	3	21:14	21
5	Khaleej Sirte	14	5	4	5	25:22	19
6	Wefaq Ajdabiya	14	5	3	6	13:17	18
7	Al Murooj SC	14	4	1	9	16:24	13
8	Al-Andalus	14	0	0	14	1:38	0