Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium, Kalba
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Adyson
21' Event
Traore A. K.
32' Event
Bello Ilou B.
Assist: Giakoumakis G.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League game between Ittihad Kalba and Al Ain finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ittihad Kalba
15%
Draws
53%
Al Ain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ain come out ahead of Ittihad Kalba on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Ain's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ain have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Kalba Al Ain
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 4 26
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.07 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.04 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain
0:2
Jan 27, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain
1:3
Dec 20, 2025 UAE League
Al Ain vs Ittihad Kalba
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 League Cup
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 League Cup
Al Ain vs Ittihad Kalba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Ain Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A. K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bello Ilou B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Kalba 10 / 100
Al Ain 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Kalba Al Ain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad Kalba scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Al Ain let in goals in 47% of their last 36 matches.

Recent resilience: Ittihad Kalba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Kalba VS Al Ain
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ittihad Kalba

(Home)
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
21 Aug
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 3
Al Wasl
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Al Ain

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)