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Ittihad Kalba vs Al Dhafra Prediction & H2H Stats

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium, Kalba
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Al Karbi A.
46'
Sub
Mohammed Z. In: Yaslam R.
Out: Mohammed Z.
61'
Sub
Spadacio L. In: Al Blooshi Y.
Out: Spadacio L.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Ittihad Kalba and Al Dhafra finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ittihad Kalba
15%
Draws
28%
Al Dhafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ittihad Kalba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Dhafra have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — Ittihad Kalba are scoring more at 1.11.
  • Model gives Ittihad Kalba a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 18%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Kalba Al Dhafra
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.11 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Dhafra
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Ittihad Kalba
3:0
Feb 10, 2023 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Ittihad Kalba
0:2
Sep 16, 2022 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Dhafra
2:0
Mar 11, 2022 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Al Dhafra
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Blooshi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Dhafra Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Kalba 49 / 100
Al Dhafra 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Kalba Al Dhafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ittihad Kalba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Dhafra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Ittihad Kalba found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Dhafra's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Kalba VS Al Dhafra
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ittihad Kalba

(Home)
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
21 Aug
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 3
Al Wasl
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Al Dhafra

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Hatta
1 : 2
Al Dhafra
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
29 Aug
Khorfakkan
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
22 Aug
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)