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Ituano U20 vs Sport Recife U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 B 2025
Wed, May 21, 2025
4 - 5
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Andrade Camargo M.
7' Event
Vini Oliveira
9' Event
Patrick

AI Match Summary

Ituano U20 host Sport Recife U20 in the Brasileiro U20 B 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sport Recife U20 have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Ituano U20 have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor Sport Recife U20 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 21, 2025, ending 4:5. xG projections (1.50 - 1.50) back Sport Recife U20 to edge this. Sport Recife U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ituano U20
40%
Draws
29%
Sport Recife U20
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ituano U20 demonstrates higher offensive output (1.88 avg goals) than Sport Recife U20 (1.75 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Brasileiro U20 B 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ituano U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Sport Recife U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituano U20 Sport Recife U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 Brasileiro U20 B
Ituano U20 vs Sport Recife U20
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vini Oliveira
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andrade Camargo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sport Recife U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Enzo Vagner
2 Goals
Assists Leader Patrick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituano U20 31 / 100
Sport Recife U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituano U20 Sport Recife U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ituano U20 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Sport Recife U20 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Ituano U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sport Recife U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ituano U20 VS Sport Recife U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vila Nova FC U202
Avai U203
Ituano U204
Sport Recife U205
Vitoria U202
Ponte Preta U200
Criciuma U201
Goias U200
Semi-finals
Avai U202
Sport Recife U200
Vitoria U203
Criciuma U202
Final
Avai U203
Vitoria U201