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Ituano vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Novelli Júnior, Itu
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Pablo Gabriel
35'
Lucas Wingert
46'
Sub
Renan Bernabe In: Matheuzinho
Out: Renan Bernabe

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ituano and Barra FC (Santa Catarina) finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ituano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ituano
30%
Draws
47%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ituano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Barra FC (Santa Catarina) a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ituano Clean Sheet 22%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituano Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Serie C
Ituano vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituano Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Xavier
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituano 24 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituano Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ituano found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Ituano stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ituano VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituano

(Home)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 6

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Away)
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)