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Ituano vs Santo Andre

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Neto Berola

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Ituano and Santo Andre finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ituano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ituano
15%
Draws
65%
Santo Andre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santo Andre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ituano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Ituano Clean Sheet 27%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituano Santo Andre
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Santo Andre
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Ituano
2:2
Feb 19, 2023 Paulista
Ituano vs Santo Andre
2:0
Mar 5, 2022 Paulista
Santo Andre vs Ituano
0:0
May 13, 2021 Paulista
Ituano vs Santo Andre
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituano Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto Berola
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Santo Andre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituano 33 / 100
Santo Andre 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituano Santo Andre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santo Andre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santo Andre has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ituano scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Ituano remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ituano VS Santo Andre
1 Goals Scored 0.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.83
38% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituano

(Home)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
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Santo Andre

(Away)
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)