Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ituano vs Sertaozinho Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Neto Berola
(Penalty)
33' Event
Stefanello L.
53' Event
Gabriel William

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Ituano and Sertaozinho finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ituano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ituano
15%
Draws
42%
Sertaozinho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ituano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sertaozinho come out ahead of Ituano on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ituano a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ituano here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ituano Clean Sheet 68%
Sertaozinho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituano Sertaozinho
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Sertaozinho
4:0
Feb 20, 2010 Paulista
Ituano vs Sertaozinho
1:0
Feb 7, 2008 Paulista
Sertaozinho vs Ituano
0:1
Feb 25, 2007 Paulista
Sertaozinho vs Ituano
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituano Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefanello L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel William
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Sertaozinho Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituano 68 / 100
Sertaozinho 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituano Sertaozinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ituano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sertaozinho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Sertaozinho lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Ituano found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Ituano VS Sertaozinho
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituano

(Home)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 7

Sertaozinho

(Away)
15 Apr
Sao Jose EC
5 : 0
Sertaozinho
08 Apr
Sertaozinho
0 : 1
Ferroviaria
28 Mar
Sertaozinho
0 : 2
Juventus-SP
22 Mar
Juventus-SP
2 : 1
Sertaozinho
19 Mar
Ferroviaria
1 : 2
Sertaozinho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)