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Ituano vs Votuporanguense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2 Estádio Novelli Júnior, Itu
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Luiz Thiago
80' Event
Razera
90' Event
Guilherme Dal Pian

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Ituano and Votuporanguense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ituano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ituano
15%
Draws
59%
Votuporanguense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Votuporanguense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ituano have managed 1.11 goals a game lately — Votuporanguense are scoring more at 1.2.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Votuporanguense taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ituano here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ituano Clean Sheet 27%
Votuporanguense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituano Votuporanguense
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Votuporanguense
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Votuporanguense vs Ituano
3:0
Jan 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Votuporanguense
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Paulista A2
Votuporanguense vs Ituano
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituano Compare

Top Goalscorer Razera
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Dal Pian
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Votuporanguense Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Thiago
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituano 14 / 100
Votuporanguense 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituano Votuporanguense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Votuporanguense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Votuporanguense has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ituano found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (35 games).

Ituano went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ituano VS Votuporanguense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituano

(Home)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
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Votuporanguense

(Away)
28 Apr
Votuporanguense
0 : 0
Juventus-SP
21 Apr
Juventus-SP
2 : 1
Votuporanguense
15 Apr
Ituano
2 : 1
Votuporanguense
08 Apr
Votuporanguense
5 : 1
Agua Santa
28 Mar
Votuporanguense
2 : 1
Piracicaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Ituano 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
3 Piracicaba 6 2 2 2 6:4 8
4 Agua Santa 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
2 Juventus-SP 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Sao Jose EC 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 Sertaozinho 6 1 0 5 4:13 3
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Play Offs)