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Itumbiara vs Bom Jesus

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bom Jesus in this Goiano 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bom Jesus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Itumbiara
6%
Draws
90%
Bom Jesus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bom Jesus at 3 per game, Itumbiara at 0.63.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bom Jesus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 10%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itumbiara Bom Jesus
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 0
Goals Scored 0.63 3
Goals Conceded 3.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Goiano 3
Itumbiara vs Bom Jesus
0:8

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itumbiara 10 / 100
Bom Jesus 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itumbiara Bom Jesus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Itumbiara scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Bom Jesus let in goals in 45% of their last 11 matches.

Solid form: Itumbiara remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itumbiara VS Bom Jesus
0.63 Goals Scored 3
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bom Jesus1192033:529
2Mineiros1190223:627
3Crixas1174017:325
4ABD FC1172231:423
5America GO1163217:921
6Guanabara City1161422:1319
7Santa Helena1133517:1812
8Aparecida EC1123611:129
9Pires do Rio1123615:229
10Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)1121810:347
11Rioverdense1110107:403
12Itumbiara1110109:463