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Itumbiara vs Guanabara City

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guanabara City in this Goiano 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guanabara City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Itumbiara
6%
Draws
90%
Guanabara City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guanabara City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guanabara City have won more games recently than Itumbiara.
  • Win probability leans Guanabara City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Goiano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 10%
Guanabara City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itumbiara Guanabara City
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 4.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Goiano 3
Itumbiara vs Guanabara City
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itumbiara 10 / 100
Guanabara City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itumbiara Guanabara City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itumbiara found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Guanabara City has conceded goals in 57% of their last 23 outings.

Itumbiara has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itumbiara VS Guanabara City
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
4.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bom Jesus1192033:529
2Mineiros1190223:627
3Crixas1174017:325
4ABD FC1172231:423
5America GO1163217:921
6Guanabara City1161422:1319
7Santa Helena1133517:1812
8Aparecida EC1123611:129
9Pires do Rio1123615:229
10Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)1121810:347
11Rioverdense1110107:403
12Itumbiara1110109:463