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Itumbiara vs Rio Verde

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2020
Itumbiara Logo

Itumbiara

4 - 0
FT
Rio Verde Logo

Rio Verde

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Itumbiara in this Goiano 2 2020 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itumbiara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Itumbiara
15%
Draws
69%
Rio Verde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Verde lately — more wins on the board than Itumbiara.
  • Model gives Rio Verde a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Itumbiara have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 10%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itumbiara Rio Verde
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.07 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2020 Goiano 2
Itumbiara vs Rio Verde
4:0
Nov 8, 2020 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Itumbiara
1:3
Feb 14, 2018 Goiano
Itumbiara vs Rio Verde
2:0
Jan 24, 2018 Goiano
Rio Verde vs Itumbiara
0:1
Mar 12, 2017 Goiano
Rio Verde vs Itumbiara
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itumbiara 10 / 100
Rio Verde 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itumbiara Rio Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Verde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itumbiara found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Rio Verde let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Itumbiara went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itumbiara VS Rio Verde
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itumbiara

(Home)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
02 Nov
Itumbiara
0 : 8
Bom Jesus
24 Oct
ABD FC
7 : 0
Itumbiara
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
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Rio Verde

(Away)
12 Aug
Mineiros
1 : 2
Rio Verde
09 Aug
Bom Jesus
0 : 0
Rio Verde
02 Aug
Rio Verde
4 : 1
Gremio Anapolis
29 Jul
Rio Verde
1 : 0
Tupy FC
26 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 3
Rio Verde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jataiense 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Itumbiara 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
3 Inhumas 6 2 3 1 12:2 9
4 Rio Verde 6 0 0 6 1:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2021 (Main)