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Itupiranga vs Atletico Paraense

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 game between Itupiranga and Atletico Paraense finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itupiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Itupiranga
35%
Draws
35%
Atletico Paraense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Itupiranga haven't matched Atletico Paraense's recent run of results.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Itupiranga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Itupiranga Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Paraense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itupiranga Atletico Paraense
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 7 10
Draws 12 1
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.13 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Atletico Paraense
4:1
May 2, 2026 Paraense A2
Atletico Paraense vs Itupiranga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itupiranga 56 / 100
Atletico Paraense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itupiranga Atletico Paraense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itupiranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itupiranga found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Itupiranga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Atletico Paraense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 13 matches.

Scoring Trends

Itupiranga VS Atletico Paraense
1.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itupiranga

(Home)
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Paraense

(Away)
23 May
Itupiranga
4 : 1
Atletico Paraense
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
02 May
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Itupiranga
25 Apr
Carajas
0 : 0
Atletico Paraense
25 Nov
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)