Sport Picks

Brazil

Paraense A2 2025

Itupiranga

1 - 2

Carajas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 2025 game between Itupiranga and Carajas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carajas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Itupiranga

28%

Draws

22%

Carajas

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Itupiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Itupiranga carry the better recent record into this one.
50% — that's where the model lands on Itupiranga taking it.
Regular Paraense A2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Itupiranga Clean Sheet 19%

Carajas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Itupiranga	Carajas
Matches Played	31	24
Wins	7	4
Draws	12	9
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Paraense A2

Carajas vs Itupiranga

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

May 9, 2026 Paraense A2

Itupiranga vs Carajas

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jun 24, 2025 Paraense A2

Carajas vs Itupiranga

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

2:4

Jun 14, 2025 Paraense A2

Itupiranga vs Carajas

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Sep 29, 2024 Paraense A2

Itupiranga vs Carajas

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itupiranga 49 / 100

Carajas 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Itupiranga Carajas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itupiranga found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Carajas conceded in 75% of 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Itupiranga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itupiranga VS Carajas

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Amazonia IFC	4	2	2	0	6:4	8
2	Uniao Paraense	4	1	2	1	5:4	5
3	ESMAC	4	0	2	2	3:6	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Urumajo	4	2	2	0	6:2	8
2	Paragominas	4	1	2	1	4:4	5
3	Pinheirense	4	0	2	2	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Raimundo PA	4	3	0	1	11:8	9
2	Marajo	4	1	1	2	6:6	4
3	Izabelense	4	1	1	2	5:8	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Canaa	4	2	1	1	7:4	7
2	Itupiranga	4	2	1	1	8:6	7
3	Carajas	4	1	0	3	5:10	3