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Stadium Background

Itupiranga vs Independente

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independente in this Paraense B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Itupiranga
35%
Draws
37%
Independente
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Independente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Independente have won more games recently than Itupiranga.
  • Itupiranga are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Paraense B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Itupiranga Clean Sheet 18%
Independente Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itupiranga Independente
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 12
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Paraense A2
Independente vs Itupiranga
0:0
Jun 4, 2026 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Independente
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Paraense A2
Independente vs Itupiranga
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Independente
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Paraense
Independente vs Itupiranga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itupiranga 36 / 100
Independente 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itupiranga Independente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itupiranga's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Independente let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Itupiranga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Itupiranga VS Independente
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itupiranga

(Home)
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
Page 1 of 7

Independente

(Away)
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2
Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paragominas 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Pinheirense 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
4 Santos PA 6 0 2 4 1:9 2
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izabelense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Amazonia IFC 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
3 Fonte Nova 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
4 Uniao Paraense 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 ESMAC 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
2 Carajas 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)