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Ituzaingo vs Dep. Merlo Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Carlos Sacaan, Ituzaingó
Ituzaingo Logo

Ituzaingo

0 - 0
FT
Dep. Merlo Logo

Dep. Merlo

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Alfieri L.
62'
Sub
Gras S. In: Maza J.
Out: Gras S.
62'
Aguerre F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Ituzaingo and Dep. Merlo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ituzaingo
20%
Draws
64%
Dep. Merlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Merlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Merlo come out ahead of Ituzaingo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 24%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituzaingo Dep. Merlo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 1 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.69 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Dep. Merlo
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Ituzaingo
3:2
Jul 1, 2023 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Dep. Merlo
0:1
Mar 5, 2023 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Ituzaingo
0:0
Jul 26, 2022 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Dep. Merlo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituzaingo 33 / 100
Dep. Merlo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituzaingo Dep. Merlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Merlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Merlo has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Dep. Merlo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ituzaingo scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ituzaingo VS Dep. Merlo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituzaingo

(Home)
25 Sept
Ituzaingo
0 : 1
Defensores Unidos
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
11 Sept
Ituzaingo
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 2
Dock Sud
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Merlo

(Away)
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1
Flandria
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0
Defensores Unidos
31 Aug
Comunicaciones
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 37 22 8 7 59:29 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 37 19 12 6 50:24 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 37 19 10 8 40:21 67
4 Villa Dalmine 37 17 13 7 38:21 64
5 Deportivo Camioneros 37 17 12 8 42:27 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 37 17 11 9 43:28 62
7 Real Pilar 37 16 10 11 40:38 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 37 16 9 12 39:38 57
9 Comunicaciones 37 14 12 11 38:33 54
10 Laferrere 37 12 12 13 44:49 48
11 Dock Sud 37 11 14 12 40:39 47
12 San Martin Burzaco 37 11 14 12 37:40 47
13 Villa San Carlos 37 10 14 13 36:39 44
14 Argentino de Merlo 37 11 11 15 32:37 44
15 Dep. Merlo 37 10 13 14 36:51 43
16 Argentino de Quilmes 37 9 15 13 29:36 42
17 Defensores Unidos 37 9 13 15 32:38 40
18 CSD Liniers 37 9 13 15 30:39 40
19 Brown Adrogue 37 8 14 15 24:37 38
20 Flandria 37 10 8 19 33:47 38
21 UAI Urquiza 37 4 20 13 18:33 32
22 Ituzaingo 37 1 12 24 23:59 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)