Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Carlos Sacaan
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Arango M.
16' Event
Damiolini N.
29'
Liporace I.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Ituzaingo and Excursionistas finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ituzaingo
6%
Draws
90%
Excursionistas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excursionistas come out ahead of Ituzaingo on wins alone.
  • Excursionistas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 12%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituzaingo Excursionistas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas
1:3
Nov 20, 2021 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas
1:0
Oct 13, 2021 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas
1:1
Jun 16, 2021 Primera C
Excursionistas vs Ituzaingo
0:0
Feb 10, 2020 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituzaingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mena L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Excursionistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Arango M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Damiolini N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituzaingo 10 / 100
Excursionistas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituzaingo Excursionistas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ituzaingo found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Excursionistas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Ituzaingo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ituzaingo VS Excursionistas
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi26148437:1950
2Excursionistas26147537:1749
3Talleres Remedios Escalada26147529:1349
4Villa Dalmine26139430:1448
5Deportivo Camioneros26138531:1747
6Sportivo Italiano26128627:2144
7Comunicaciones26108830:2638
8Laferrere26108829:3038
9Real Pilar26107929:2937
10Deportivo Armenio26107930:3137
11Dep. Merlo2699831:3836
12San Martin Burzaco26811726:2335
13Argentino de Merlo2698926:2435
14Dock Sud26710926:2431
15Argentino de Quilmes26710925:2831
16CSD Liniers26691117:2627
17Flandria26751420:3226
18Defensores Unidos265101120:2925
19UAI Urquiza26315812:2224
20Brown Adrogue26591216:2924
21Villa San Carlos264101224:3322
22Ituzaingo26171818:4510