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ITZ Sport vs Lago Verde

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with ITZ Sport advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
ITZ Sport
15%
Draws
85%
Lago Verde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lago Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lago Verde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lago Verde are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Lago Verde arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor ITZ Sport, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
ITZ Sport Clean Sheet 11%
Lago Verde Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ITZ Sport Lago Verde
Matches Played 24 17
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 0.83 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.42 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Maranhense 2
Lago Verde vs ITZ Sport
1:1
Oct 15, 2025 Maranhense 2
ITZ Sport vs Lago Verde
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ITZ Sport 10 / 100
Lago Verde 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ITZ Sport Lago Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lago Verde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lago Verde has conceded goals in 65% of their last 17 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

ITZ Sport scored in 50% of their last 24 games.

Lago Verde's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

ITZ Sport VS Lago Verde
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ITZ Sport

(Home)
01 Feb
Sampaio Correa
6 : 0
ITZ Sport
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
21 Jan
Maranhao
1 : 0
ITZ Sport
17 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 1
Imperatriz
Page 1 of 5

Lago Verde

(Away)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Lago Verde
5 : 2
Expressinho
11 Jul
Expressinho
0 : 1
Lago Verde
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cordino EC 2
Sao Luis 3
Timon EC (MA) 0
Luminense 1
Americano Bacabal 1
ITZ Sport 4
Tupan 1
Lago Verde 6
Semi-finals
Sao Luis 1
Luminense 2
ITZ Sport 3
Lago Verde 2
Final
Luminense 1
ITZ Sport 0