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Ivancsa vs MTK Budapest II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ivancsa host MTK Budapest II in the NB III - Southwest. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ivancsa have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against MTK Budapest II's 1.79 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Ivancsa slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.50 - 2.44) back MTK Budapest II to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ivancsa
15%
Draws
34%
MTK Budapest II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivancsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • MTK Budapest II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ivancsa a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ivancsa Clean Sheet 10%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivancsa MTK Budapest II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Ivancsa vs MTK Budapest II
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Ivancsa
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ivancsa vs MTK Budapest II
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Ivancsa
2:1
Mar 31, 2024 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Ivancsa
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivancsa 56 / 100
MTK Budapest II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivancsa MTK Budapest II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivancsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ivancsa scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

MTK Budapest II has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ivancsa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivancsa VS MTK Budapest II
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivancsa

(Home)
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
12 Sept
Ivancsa
0 : 4
Szeged-Csanad GA
05 Sept
Ivancsa
2 : 3
Majosi
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MTK Budapest II

(Away)
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
15 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)