Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ivatsevichi vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Senko V.
30' Event
Lovets Y.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Kiyko A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Arsenal Dzerzhinsk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ivatsevichi
6%
Draws
90%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk come out ahead of Ivatsevichi on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Arsenal Dzerzhinsk taking it.
  • Arsenal Dzerzhinsk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsenal Dzerzhinsk, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ivatsevichi Clean Sheet 10%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivatsevichi Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 2 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Belarusian Cup
Ivatsevichi vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivatsevichi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiyko A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Senko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivatsevichi 10 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivatsevichi Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ivatsevichi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Ivatsevichi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivatsevichi VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivatsevichi

(Home)
20 May
Ivatsevichi
1 : 3
Slutsk
29 May
Ivatsevichi
0 : 6
Belshina
21 Jul
Ivatsevichi
1 : 6
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
31 May
Ivatsevichi
3 : 0
Orsha
29 May
Ivatsevichi
0 : 5
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Away)
18 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 3
Vitebsk
04 Jul
Neman
0 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
26 Jun
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 1
FC Gomel
21 Jun
BATE
2 : 3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Osipovichi1
Molodechno2
TBD-
SKA-1938 Minsk-
Krumkachy-
TBD-
TBD-
Neman-
FK Cementnik0
Partizan Salihorsk3
TBD-
Sputnik-
Kronon Stolbtsy1
Dnepr Mogilev4
TBD-
FC Minsk-
ML Vitebsk2
Volna Pinsk4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Ostrovets1
FK Baranovici2
TBD-
BATE-
Stanles Pinsk3
FC Slonim2
TBD-
Zhodino-
Senno1
Lokomotiv Gomel6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Brest Malorita11
Kostyukovichy0
TBD-
Slutsk-
Grodnensky1
FK Lida6
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Leskhoz1
Uzda2
TBD-
Shakhtyor Soligorsk-
Stroitel Kapyl0
Orsha4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Lepel0
FK Smolevichi1
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Ivatsevichi0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk5
TBD-
Smorgon-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Naftan8
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
FK Kobrin0
Belshina3
TBD-
Rukh Brest-
1/16-finals
Molodechno0
SKA-1938 Minsk4
Krumkachy1
Neman2
Partizan Salihorsk2
Sputnik3
Dnepr Mogilev2
FC Minsk1
Volna Pinsk0
Slavia Mozyr1
FK Baranovici1
BATE6
Stanles Pinsk0
Zhodino2
Lokomotiv Gomel4
Isloch Minsk3
Brest Malorita1
Slutsk2
FK Lida0
Din. Minsk3
Uzda0
Shakhtyor Soligorsk3
Orsha2
FC Gomel6
FK Smolevichi1
Vitebsk3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2
Smorgon1
Naftan2
Dynamo Brest3
Belshina1
Rukh Brest3
1/8-finals
SKA-1938 Minsk0
Neman4
Sputnik-
Dnepr Mogilev-
Slavia Mozyr1
BATE2
Zhodino1
Lokomotiv Gomel0
Slutsk0
Din. Minsk4
Shakhtyor Soligorsk1
FC Gomel2
Vitebsk1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
Dynamo Brest2
Rukh Brest0
Quarter-finals
Neman3
Dnepr Mogilev0
BATE2
Zhodino1
Din. Minsk2
FC Gomel4
Vitebsk2
Dynamo Brest1
Semi-finals
Neman2
BATE3
FC Gomel2
Vitebsk1
Final
BATE1
FC Gomel2