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Iveria Khashuri vs Betlemi Keda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iveria Khashuri host Betlemi Keda in the Liga 3. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Iveria Khashuri at 1.24 goals for, 2.1 against; Betlemi Keda at 0.9 for, 2.55 against. Past meetings favor Iveria Khashuri slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 5:4. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.81, favoring Iveria Khashuri. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Iveria Khashuri
35%
Draws
39%
Betlemi Keda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Betlemi Keda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Iveria Khashuri haven't matched Betlemi Keda's recent run of results.
  • Iveria Khashuri are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Iveria Khashuri Clean Sheet 11%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iveria Khashuri Betlemi Keda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.24 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Iveria Khashuri vs Betlemi Keda
5:4
May 3, 2026 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Iveria Khashuri
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iveria Khashuri 56 / 100
Betlemi Keda 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iveria Khashuri Betlemi Keda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iveria Khashuri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Betlemi Keda let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Iveria Khashuri scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Iveria Khashuri remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iveria Khashuri VS Betlemi Keda
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Iveria Khashuri

(Home)
09 Oct
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
17 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2
Didube
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2
WIT Georgia
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Iveria Khashuri
Page 1 of 6

Betlemi Keda

(Away)
09 Oct
Betlemi Keda
2 : 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2
Betlemi Keda
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 23 17 3 3 67:11 54
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 23 15 7 1 57:14 52
3 Iberia 1999 2 23 11 9 3 37:19 42
4 Merani Tbilisi 23 11 7 5 39:29 40
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 23 10 5 8 39:28 35
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 23 9 5 9 34:33 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 23 9 3 11 30:39 30
12 Khobi 23 7 3 13 31:46 24
13 FC Gardabani 23 4 4 15 19:56 16
14 Betlemi Keda 23 4 4 15 15:55 16
15 Iveria Khashuri 23 1 11 11 24:48 14
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 23 2 5 16 19:58 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)