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Ivinhema vs Costa Rica

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Fabio Junior
30' Event
Lopes C.
36' Event
Cleiton

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica in this Sul-Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa Rica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ivinhema
39%
Draws
31%
Costa Rica
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ivinhema lately — more wins on the board than Costa Rica.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Costa Rica have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 68%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivinhema Costa Rica
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Ivinhema
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Costa Rica
2:3
Apr 16, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Ivinhema
0:1
Apr 8, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Costa Rica
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivinhema Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabio Junior
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elieser
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cleiton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivinhema 41 / 100
Costa Rica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivinhema Costa Rica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IVI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivinhema scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Costa Rica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ivinhema has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ivinhema VS Costa Rica
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ivinhema961221:719
2Pantanal953117:718
3Dourados953117:718
4Operario MS951311:1216
5Costa Rica935114:1014
6Aguia Negra932414:1411
7Naviraiense923411:149
8Corumbaense92258:148
9Coxim92167:187
10Aquidauanense911712:294